Chart showing how the U.S. is on track to equal Iran, Italy, and Spain

"CLOSE EVERYTHING NOW"

That's still the advice from infectious disease experts.

The hard data isn't quite in yet but so far it looks as if the infection rate for COVID-19 is between 2 and 3.11 which means that EACH infected person will infect between 2 and 4 additional people.

Any number above 1 (the seasonal flu is 1.3) means the disease will spread in the population.

Measles is over 11, while ebola which terrified the world had an infection rate of 2.

A number like 2, 3, or 4 which includes this coronavirus, means the growth will be exponential and that is indicated as accurate by the fact that the number of infected people has been doubling every 3 days.

 A chart produced by the Financial Times shows that while Hong Kong, Japan, and Singapore which took immediate action to close down the area, the U.S. is exactly in line with Spain, Italy, France, and the U.K. which strangely has decided to let the virus run wild in hopes that the population will develop a herd immunity - something that works with Measles but there is no evidence it works with any coronavirus.



https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/http%3A%2F%2Fblogs.ft.com%2Fthe-world%2Ffiles%2F2020%2F03%2Ftrajectory-mar14.png?fit=scale-down&source=next&width=700

For the U.S. ten days from the first day when therre were 100 confirmed cases, there are just over 2,000 infected people known positibely have COVID-19, there are probably many more.

Unless something extremely drastic is done and I mean monday or tuesday, in another 10 days there will be more than 20,000 cases in the U.S.

Testing, of course, is vital if public health experts will be able to make rational decisions, but the U.S. is far, FAR behind.

As of March 11 the U.S. reported testing 7,695 people or 23 per 1 Million population.

South Korea where they are getting a handle on the infection, tested nearly 200,000 by March 8 or 3,692 per 1 Million population.

Of course the governor of Ohio says he suspects there are 100 thousand Plus cases in his state and by Wednesday he expects to see almost half a million in Ohio alone.